Field survey technicians sampling soil and water for ESIA baseline
Environmental & ESIAJanuary 2026·9 min read

Why Category A ESIAs Fail in Africa: Lessons From 40+ Projects Across 18 Countries

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Trizer Chepkemboi

Environmental Associate, EIA, Ecological Baseline & Stakeholder Engagement

After preparing and reviewing ESIA documentation for more than 40 Category A projects in East, West, and Southern Africa, patterns of failure are clear, and almost entirely preventable.

A Category A ESIA is the most demanding form of environmental and social assessment required under IFC Performance Standards, reserved for projects with potentially significant, diverse, or unprecedented adverse impacts. In four years of practice across eighteen African regulatory environments, our team has reviewed more than forty Category A ESIA reports on behalf of lenders, project companies, and regulatory bodies. The failure modes are remarkably consistent.

Lesson 1: Scoping Too Narrow

The scoping stage defines what the ESIA will study. If the scope is defined too narrowly, excluding downstream impacts, limiting the study area to the project footprint, or failing to include project-related facilities like access roads and transmission lines, the resulting ESIA will be structurally incomplete. No amount of excellent field work can fix a scope that was set incorrectly at the outset.

The most common scoping failure we encounter is treating the project footprint as the study area boundary. IFC PS1 requires consideration of impacts in the project's area of influence, which extends to the catchment of project-affected watercourses, the habitat connectivity zone around the project boundary, and the community territories from which labour will be drawn. For a 200MW hydropower project, the area of influence may extend 50–100km downstream of the dam wall.

Lesson 2: Baseline Surveys Timed Incorrectly

Ecological baselines must represent the conditions against which impacts will be measured. This means surveys must capture seasonal variation, particularly in ecosystems where species presence, water flow, or vegetation cover varies dramatically between wet and dry seasons. We consistently encounter baseline reports based on a single dry-season survey in ecosystems where the wet season is ecologically critical. A migratory waterbird colony that is absent in August may constitute critical habitat under PS6 in February.

Lesson 3: Social Baseline, Insufficient Depth on Vulnerable Groups

IFC PS1 requires assessment of impacts on vulnerable groups, women, children, elderly, persons with disabilities, and ethnic minorities. The social baselines we review most often provide aggregate household data without disaggregating impacts by vulnerability category. A road project that displaces a village requires analysis of how resettlement affects female-headed households differently from male-headed households, how it affects the elderly whose livelihood is the communal field they have farmed for 40 years, and how it affects the minority ethnic group whose land rights are customary rather than registered.

The social baseline that says 'approximately 450 households will be affected' without disaggregating by gender, age, ethnicity, or livelihood dependence has told you almost nothing about the project's social risk.

, Trizer Chepkemboi, Supacare Environmental Associate

Lesson 4: Cumulative Impact, The Most Common Omission

Cumulative impact assessment, the evaluation of impacts that result from the combination of the project with other past, present, and reasonably foreseeable future projects in the same area, is required by IFC PS1 but is absent from the majority of ESIA reports we review. This is partly because developers have no financial incentive to study activities for which they bear no responsibility, and partly because the guidance on what 'reasonably foreseeable' means is genuinely ambiguous.

Lenders do not share this ambiguity. A road project in a forested watershed that does not assess cumulative deforestation pressure from the access routes it will open, or from the mining licence awarded in the adjacent concession, has failed to conduct a credible cumulative impact assessment. This single gap delays more financial close processes than any other, because it requires the developer to commission additional study after the ESIA is otherwise complete.

Lesson 5: The ESMP as a Document, Not a System

The ESMP must be a system that a project manager can implement on day one of construction. This means: specific mitigation measures with performance standards, named responsible parties, monitoring frequency and method, reporting timeline, and a budget. What we see most often is a table of mitigation measures with columns for 'method,' 'responsibility,' and 'timing' filled in with generic language: 'project management team,' 'ongoing,' 'monthly.' This is not implementable. A lender's independent environmental and social monitor, arriving on site in month three of construction, should be able to check compliance against the ESMP without calling the project manager. If they cannot, the ESMP has failed its purpose.

What Excellence Looks Like

The best Category A ESIA we have reviewed had an ESMP with 147 specific mitigation measures, each with a quantified performance standard, named contractor responsibility, independent monitoring frequency, and a line item in the construction budget. The cumulative impact assessment reviewed four other projects within 50km. The social baseline disaggregated all 12 impact metrics by gender, age group, and ethnicity. The biodiversity baseline covered two complete annual cycles. It took 22 months to prepare. It closed $340M in project finance in six months.

The investment in a rigorous Category A ESIA is substantial, typically $500,000 to $1.5M for a large infrastructure project. But the cost of inadequate assessment is always higher: 12–24 months of additional study, damaged lender relationships, community opposition that could have been addressed in FPIC, and, occasionally, a project that fails to reach financial close at all. The ESIA is not a cost centre. It is an insurance policy and a financing accelerator.

Category A ESIANEMAIFC PSEnvironmental AssessmentLender E&S

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